← Insights / Lab

Applied decision systems

From heuristics to ML

Evaluate predictive controls alongside existing rules, with explicit thresholds, review processes and rollback paths.

Context

Moving from rules to predictive models requires more than a new scoring method. Existing controls encode operational knowledge, while a model introduces new assumptions and failure modes. Run candidate models alongside the existing approach to understand those differences before changing live decisions.

Practice

  • Shadow test a candidate service against agreed precision, recall and operational review criteria.
  • Document retraining cadences, rollback paths and audit trails so stakeholders can inspect how decisions are made.
  • Involve frontline reviewers in feature design and override policies.

Takeaways

  • Quiet launches can expose blind spots before existing controls are retired.
  • Evaluation, monitoring and training belong in the delivery plan from the start.
  • Keep operational ownership explicit when predictive logic becomes part of a workflow.

Put the next question to work.

Bring the question, the available evidence and the constraints. Speak directly with the practitioner who will do the work.